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Best bet for profiting off the coming deflation?

 
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prozacrefugee
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2010 6:57 pm    Post subject: Best bet for profiting off the coming deflation? Reply with quote

Chinese Yuan/Renminbi bonds or US?
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Silent
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2010 3:58 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

rupies.
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djjagdish
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 25, 2010 4:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

first growth Bordeaux futures
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J.E.D.
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 27, 2010 7:26 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

"Pussy will sell even when cotton and corn won't"

-Fillmore Slim-
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ChannelZero
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 31, 2010 11:14 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

either open a repo man agency or get in on that migrant-worker-smugglin game.
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prozacrefugee
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 31, 2010 2:45 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Silent wrote:
rupies.


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prozacrefugee
Riot Nrrd


Joined: 19 Nov 2003
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Location: living in a powderkeg and giving off sparks

PostPosted: Tue Sep 07, 2010 6:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Good article and data here about the fact we've got a classic depression situation here, with the market settling on a suboptimal position.




Quote:
We have very low capacity utilization (75%) and very high unemployment (10%).

That is, we have factories sitting idle for lack of workers – low capacity utilization. At the same time we have workers sitting idle for lack of factories – high unemployment.

There are machines waiting to be worked and people waiting to work them but they are not getting together. The labor market is failing to clear.

This is a fucking disaster.

Excuse my language, but you have to get that this is a big deal. This is not a big deal like the GOP doesn’t appreciate public goods. Or, Democrats don’t understand incentives. Or some other such second order debate that could reasonably concern us in different times.

This is a failure of our basic institutions of production. The job of the market is to bring together willing buyers with willing sellers in order to produce value. This is not happening and as a result literally trillions of dollars in value are not being produced.

Let me say that again because I think it fails to sink in – literally trillions of dollars in value are not being produced. Not misallocated. Not spent on programs you don’t approve of or distributed in tax cuts you don’t like. Trillions of dollars in value are not produced at all. Gone from the world entirely. Never to be had, by anyone, anywhere, at any time. Pure unadulterated loss.

http://modeledbehavior.com/2010/09/07/rome-is-burning/

One thing that's really interesting is the excess capacity regression which seems to increase since 1975, the same time income inequality really took off in the US. Coincidence?
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prozacrefugee
Riot Nrrd


Joined: 19 Nov 2003
Posts: 9465
Location: living in a powderkeg and giving off sparks

PostPosted: Mon Oct 18, 2010 2:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Again.

Quote:
Capital Economics’ Ashworth noted that business equipment production rose just 0.1% -- demonstrating that after the release of pent-up demand, the growth rate of business investment has slowed.

Capacity utilization slipped to 74.7% from a 74.8% rate in August — well below the 80.6% average between 1972 and 2009.


https://www.sharebuilder.com/sharebuilder/Research/News.aspx?GUID={DE9781C4-DAB4-11DF-951A-002128049AD6}

Yeah, it's not a depression. We're just seeing huge unemployment with huge capacity unused at the same time. Rolling Eyes
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